Pakistan–Turkey–Saudi defence pact signals shifting West Asia power balance, may reduce US influence, analysts say

A newly signed Pakistan–Turkey–Saudi Arabia defence pact, formally known as the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, is being described by regional analysts as a potential strategic reset in West Asia — one that could diminish the United States’ long‑standing security role in the region. The agreement was signed in Saudi Arabia during a high‑level meeting attended by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, and Pakistan Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif.

The pact aims to deepen military cooperation, intelligence sharing, and joint responses to regional conflicts, including renewed tensions in Yemen and broader instability across West Asia. Analysts say the trilateral framework reflects growing doubts among Gulf states about Washington’s security guarantees, especially after the recent US–Iran war, during which Iran reportedly destroyed 17 of the US’s 27 military bases in the Gulf. This has led regional governments to question whether the US can still offer reliable protection.

One Pakistani analyst, Gul, argued that America’s “role in the region has been minimised — or is effectively over,” suggesting that the new pact fills a strategic vacuum. He added that countries like Qatar and Kuwait may eventually join similar arrangements, especially as Gulf states increasingly view Israel, rather than Iran, as their primary security challenge.

Foreign affairs expert Muhammad Mehdi said the pact could reshape global perceptions of Pakistan’s strategic importance. According to him, Pakistan now plays a major role in West Asia and Central Asia, and Turkey’s involvement could also influence how Pakistan is viewed in Europe.

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