More than trade: Strategic ties set to dominate PM Modi’s Indonesia visit

Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s upcoming visit to Indonesia is expected to go far beyond traditional trade talks, with officials and analysts saying the trip will focus on long‑term strategic cooperation across critical sectors. As India and Indonesia navigate a rapidly changing Indo‑Pacific landscape, both countries are preparing to deepen ties in investment, critical minerals, supply‑chain resilience, digital infrastructure, and defence‑linked manufacturing.

The visit comes at a time when merchandise trade between the two nations has dipped sharply. According to a Rubix Data Sciences report, bilateral goods trade fell from USD 38.8 billion in FY2023 to USD 24.8 billion in FY2026, reflecting weaker global demand. But experts say the slowdown will not overshadow the broader strategic importance of the relationship.

Instead, discussions are expected to centre on building resilient supply chains, especially as companies worldwide look to diversify away from heavily concentrated sourcing hubs. Indonesia, one of the world’s largest producers of nickel — a key raw material for electric‑vehicle batteries — is seen as a crucial partner for India’s clean‑energy ambitions.

Investment is likely to take centre stage, with both sides exploring opportunities in infrastructure, digital economy, healthcare, food processing, and advanced manufacturing. Officials say the goal is to encourage long‑term business partnerships and improve market access rather than simply boost trade volumes.

The visit also carries strategic weight. Indonesia has signalled interest in expanding defence‑industrial cooperation with India, including technology transfer, co‑production, and joint capability development. Maritime cooperation, cybersecurity, and digital public infrastructure — including India’s UPI model — are expected to feature prominently in the talks.

For India, strengthening ties with Indonesia fits squarely within its Act East and Indo‑Pacific strategies, aimed at building stable partnerships across the region. For Jakarta, closer cooperation with New Delhi offers economic resilience and a trusted partner in maintaining a rules‑based regional order.

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